FORMATION AND APPLICATION OF TRADING STRATEGIES IN THE CONDITIONS OF INSTABILITY OF THE UKRAINIAN STOCK MARKET
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.32782/city-development.2026.2-18Keywords:
trading strategy, exchange market, derivatives, risk management, martial law, post-war recovery, agricultural market, digitalization of tradingAbstract
The article examines the essence, functions, types, and adaptive potential of trading strategies under martial law and in the period of post-war recovery in Ukraine. It substantiates that the sharp increase in currency, logistics, security, and regulatory risks significantly complicates effective trading and investment decision-making, which enhances the role of formalized strategies as a tool for risk management, capital allocation, and market behavior management. Based on a synthesis of scientific approaches, it is determined that a trading strategy is a system of objectively defined rules for entering and exiting the market, managing financial flows, determining trading time parameters, and selecting priority assets. It is established that the application of trading strategies helps reduce the influence of emotional and behavioral factors, improve decision-making discipline, enhance the risk-return ratio, and adapt market decisions to an unstable environment. The main types of trading strategies are systematized according to the trading method, implementation mechanism, and time horizon, while approaches to their classification under wartime risks are also generalized. It is proven that under current conditions such strategies should take into account fluctuations in supply and demand, currency and inflation risks, security threats, logistics constraints, and state regulatory intervention. At the same time, the study identifies limitations of their application, including the complexity of their design, the risk of excessive reliance on historical data, and the danger of overfitting models to past market scenarios. It is concluded that trading strategies under conditions of war and post-war reconstruction should be considered not only as a profit-generating tool, but also as an important mechanism for ensuring the resilience of the exchange market, supporting investment activity, rational allocation of resources, and restoring Ukraine’s economic growth.
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